Importance of match: I = 40, Confederation final competition matches from the QF stage onwards; all FIFA Confederations Cup matches (I=40)
Tournament: Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs
 Nigeria: beforeP = 1,565.99
 Morocco: beforeP = 1,732.75

Knock-out rounds of final competitions: Teams that earn negative points in the knock-out round of a final competition (e.g. as a result of losing, or even winning after PSO against a weaker team) do not lose any points.

	Nigeria	Morocco
Nigeria wins   Morocco	+26.19 (1592.18)	0 (1732.75)
Nigeria wins (penalty)   Morocco	+16.19 (1582.18)	0 (1732.75)
Nigeria draws   Morocco	+6.19 (1572.18)	0 (1732.75)
Nigeria loses (penalty)   Morocco	+6.19 (1572.18)	3.81 (1736.56)
Nigeria loses   Morocco	0 (1565.99)	+13.81 (1746.56)